Free Horse Racing Picks and Analysis - Kevin's Best Bets
Thursday, October 17, 2013 23:00:00
The Breeders’ Cup Sprint is tentatively scheduled to be part of the late pick 4 on the second day of the World Championships, Saturday, November 2nd, and it will be a shocker if they decide to move it out of that prime time spot, because this one is shaping up to be as competitive as they come.
Private Zone is fresh off a jaw dropping score in the G1 Vosburgh at Belmont on Super Saturday and fresh off an insane 45.8 second workout over the Santa Anita strip this morning. Justin Phillip ran a monstrous 2nd in that Vosburgh, won the G1 Vanderbilt at Saratoga over the summer, and will head to Santa Anita in seemingly razor sharp form for trainer Steve Asmussen. Points Offthebench, a winner of 6-of-8 lifetime, comes in off of back-to-back G1 scores - most recently at this exact trip in the Santa Anita Sprint Championship earning a Beyer figure of 110. Your guess for favoritism is as good as mine.
Fast Bullet will come in off of a poor performance in the G1 Forego at Saratoga, but it is very feasible that he didn’t appreciate the wet surface. Before that, his only defeat came in last year’s edition of this race. The Lumber Guy also comes in off of a poor Saratoga performance, but he hasn’t been the same since finishing 2nd in this race last year. In four starts, he’s hit the board only once – a 2nd place finish in an ungraded stakes at the Spa. Last year’s winner, Trinniberg, has also left a lot to be desired since last year’s race, but he’ll be back to defend his crown nonetheless. Bahamian Squall should be there, too despite an uncharacteristically poor recent showing. He seems to have a knack for running a big one when least expected.
Conversely, Sum of the Parts has gotten himself back on track, scoring in the G3 Phoenix, but this isn’t the G3 Phoenix. Gentlemen’s Bet finished 4th in that race, but he has some more encouraging back form to work with. Three-year-old Forty Tales is possible, but he’d be spotting an awful lot of experience to some seriously fast horses and he’d likely leave himself way too much ground to make up late.
This one sets up nicely for a tense post position draw.
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