Breeders Cup 2014: Breeders Cup Classic Early Preview, Odds and Picks
Kevin's Look at the 2014 Breeders Cup Classic Odds
2014 Breeders Cup Classic: Saturday November 1
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The 2014 edition of the Breeders’ Cup Classic has an exceptionally strong 3-year-old presence. Undefeated Shared Belief, the speedy Bayern, and triple crown stand-out California Chrome figure to attract the most attention at the windows, while Belmont and JCGC winner Tonalist, Travers winner VE Day, and UAE Derby winner Toast of New York are also expected to lace ‘em up. Candy Boy, possibly the forgotten one of the class, appears to be coming into form after a set back as one of the Kentucky Derby favorites, but the task he faces is tall.
Four-year-old winner of the Whitney, Moreno, and five-year-old, Big Cazanova, can be expected to provide legitimate early speed as there’s absolutely no reason to expect tactics will be changed here. Santa Anita is notorious for carrying early speed, so the effect they will have on the race is to be seen. With this in mind, five-year-old closer Zivo, is likely to become a popular pick as post time nears. After notching five straight wins to start the year, he’s had a tougher time finding the winner’s circle as the competition has gotten stiffer. While he’s in top form and should be considered a contender based on talent, he may find that speed favoring Santa Anita is a long from home.
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Six-year-old Majestic Harbor earned a scholarship for this race after winning the SA Gold Cup in June over the same trip this race will be run. Distance will not be an issue for this one, but the level of competition might.
Charlestown Classic winner Imperaitve, allowance winner at this trip Footbridge, and Prayer For Relief, winless on the year, are all possible starters for this Championship as well, and each one would respectively register as a significant upset.
Early thoughts: It appears likely that a very fast pace will be set in this race, and how each of the main contenders approaches that pace will go a long way to determine the outcome. All three of those top contenders mentioned show signs of promise to go with significant cause for concern. If Bayern joins the early scamper, it’s hard to imagine he’ll have anything left in the tank for the last furlong. California Chrome loves the track and should get a favorable set up, but was his last race a suggestion that the Triple Crown campaign emptied his tank? Shared Belief has shown heart while running up a perfect record over different distances and surfaces, but has not been tested like he will in this spot.