Churchill Downs - 11-12-2020 Horse Racing Picks, Odds, and Predictions

Churchill Downs - 11-12-2020 Horse Racing Picks, Odds, and Predictions Photo by Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

Churchill Downs

11-12-2020/ 1 p.m.

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Here is a look at a few of the races on Churchill Downs’ Thursday card.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming $50,000 (Purse -$34,000)

Six 2-year-old fillies, including two first-time runners, will sprint seven furlongs.

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3 Twirling Patti (7/2), who is a half-sister to colt Collusion Illusion, comes from very good pedigree and is making her debut. She also had a good workout session for trainer Thomas Drury Jr., who has a 17% strike rate and a 42% WPS percentage with first-timers.

#4 War Ensign (3/1), a closer, is coming off her second straight third-place finish despite having a bobbled and bumped start. She is coming off a good training session for William Bradley, who has a 40% WPS percentage with 2-year-old runners. War Ensign made her debut here at CD.

#6 She’s Forever (5/2) showed tremendous improvement in her second start on the dirt, after beginning her career with two outings on the turf. She’s Forever is cutting down in distance after finishing third the last time out in a mile-long event at Keeneland. The daughter of Temple City prefers a slower pace but she is at her best when she is in the top flight early.

Best Bets: Win bet #3. Exacta box #3, #4, #6.

Race 4 - Starter Allowance $20,000 (Purse -$43,500)

Seven 3-year-old fillies will sprint seven furlongs, in what should be an excellent race.

#1 Honey Parade (4/1) is coming off a victory against $16,000 claimers at this distance. She likes running on the rail and got a post position to do so. Plus, the 4-year-old filly is 9-3-2-1 at this distance and has two wins as well as a third-place finish here at Churchill Downs. Jockey James Graham and trainer Brian Lynch have a 33% win rate along with a 44% WPS percentage over the last year.

#2 Keep Your Distance (5/2) is fast and she is at her best with a quick pace which this should be. Expect the 6-year-old mare to be in the top flight if not the leader. Keep Your Distance also likes running on the rail but she is 1-0-0-0 at Churchill and 9-1-3-1 at this distance.

#4 Shasta Star (8/1) is the fastest of the speed. She is dropping in both class and distance here, Shasta Star, who had a nice training two workouts ago, has a 30% strike rate and 80% WPS percentage at this distance. This will be the 5-year-old mare’s first start at CD.

#7 Cedar Hall (5/1) is a closer who is racing for the second time for trainer Norm Casse. Cedar Hall gets distance relief and a little class relief. She had an outstanding five-furlong workout two training sessions ago and has a win at this distance.

Best Bets: Win bet #1. Exacta box #1, #2, #7. Show bet #7.

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Daniel’s Pick Churchill Downs

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

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