Aqueduct- 11-13-2020 Horse Racing Picks, Odds, and Predictions

Aqueduct- 11-13-2020 Horse Racing Picks, Odds, and Predictions Photo by Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Aqueduct

Novemeber 13, 2020/ 12:20 p.m.

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Aqueduct has nine race cards on top for Friday, November 13, here is a look at three of them.

Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight ($80,000)

Nine 2-year-old fillies will go six furlongs on turf. There are actually 12 horses that are listed in the program, but three of the runners are MTO, which includes the horses slated to be in post 1 and post 2. Seven of the horses are first-time starters. This should be an outstanding race and the outcome be a result of the pace of the event.

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#7 Split Then Double (5/2) could catch a break if some of the participants in the first few stalls are scratched, the Great Britain horse could benefit. She is a closer who is coming off a second-place finish, as a result of a strong finish, at this distance at Belmont on Oct. 3. Split Then Double, under the guidance of trainer Chad Brown, was bought as a yearling for $115,318. Brown and Jose Ortiz have a 28% win percentage and a 64% WPS over the last year when working together. Prefers a slow pace.

#8 Into Vanishing (4/1) pressed the pace and ran second for much of her first career outing though she yielded down the stretch and finished third in a five-furlong event at Monmouth. Trainer Jonathan Thomas, whose horses have a 21% strike rate when coming off, has taken the blinkers off Into Mischief’s daughter for this one.

#10 Why She Dew Dat (12/1) is making her debut and she produced a real good workout -- going four-furlongs in 47.88 seconds -- for trainer William Mott on Nov. 8. Appears most ready of first-timers.

#12 Amalfi Princess (7/2) is coming off a fourth-place finish in the Grade 3 Maltron Stakes at Belmont Park. She has closing/saving ground ability and recorded a third-place finish in her debut.

Best Bets: Win bet: #8. Exacta box: #8, #7, #12. Show Bet: #12. Value show bet #10.

Race 7 - Allowance ($82,000)

Eight colts and geldings are slated to go six and one-half furlongs. This is a pretty wide-open race.

#2 Adare (9/5) is getting some relief in the distance and fast closer. The 4-year-old colt has not finished worse than fourth in a race of six furlongs or longer. This is Adare’s first start at Aqueduct. Jockey Joel Rosario and trainer Neil Drysdale have won 28% of their races together while also finishing in the top-3 57% of the time. He has recorded a Beyer figure of 103 in each of his last two races.

4 Binkster (4/1) has very good early speed and will likely be in the top flight as he likes to press the pace. Binkster is also 10-3-1-1 here at Aqueduct and owns a 4-1-1-0 record at the current distance. #5 Blindwillie McTell (5/1) is a speedster who could set the pace in this one. He has had success at Aqueduct and has one win in two starts at this distance. Blindwillie McTell enters the race off of a solid recent five-furlong workout. #6 War Tocsin (6/1) is a versatile runner who has improved in his last two races. He has two top-3 finishes in three races at this Aqueduct and three top-3 finishes in five outings at this distance.

#8 Twelth Man (8/1) and #7 Full Impact (5/2) are facing winners for the first time after breaking their maidens the last time out.

Best Bets: Win: #2. Show bet: #5.

Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming $62,500 (Purse - $84,000) 11 colts and geldings, as well as five also-eligibles, are listed to go one and one-eighth miles on the grass. This should be an excellent race along with the possibility of a strong betting event.

#1 Winning Factor (8/1) will be coming out of the three-hole and likes to run on the inside. While the 4-year-old son of The Factor is racing for the first time at this distance and at Aqueduct, he has run well of late and has 11 cashes in 13 starts on the turf, which includes three victories.

#3 Value Engineering (3/1) comes out of the No. 2 stall and he has hit the board in each of his seven starts with two victories. The 4-year-old colt, an offspring of Lemond Drop Kid, has shown improvement in each of his last two races and Value Engineering has faced this type of competition in each of the last three starts. He is racing for the first time since August as well as the first time at Aqueduct and at this distance. Trainer Chad Brown has a 29% strike rate between 31-180 days as long as a 27% win rate in allowance events.

#4 Financial Systems (10/1) had his five-race streak of finishing in the top-3 snapped the last time out in the Grade 3 Red Bank Stakes. This is his second race under trainer Kelly Breen, following the claim, and he produced an excellent four-furlong workout on Oct. 19. The 6-year-old gelded son of Twirling Candy has four wins and eight cashes in 10 career starts on the grass, which includes a third-place finish at this distance.

#5 Hieroglyphics (6/1) is stepping up in competition in this one but is coming off back-to-back victories. Has a previous victory at Aqueduct.

#12 Epic Bromance (15/1) is a contender in exotic bets.

Best Bets: Win bet: #1. Exacta a box #1, #4, #3. Show Bet: #4.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Daniel’s Pick Aqueduct

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

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