Del Mar Raceway
November 15, 2020 / 7 p.m. (ET)
Six 2-year-old colt and geldings will go seven furlongs in this $100,000 Grade 3 stakes event.
#1 Ambivalent (7/2) is coming off a sixth-place finish in the Grade I Champagne Stakes on Oct. 10 after chasing the leaders of the race and tiring. Ambivalent is a stalker who has three top-3 finishes in five starts. The son of Constitution, who was purchased for $550,000, had a nice workout for trainer Doug O’Neil the last workout and will be without blinkers for the first time in three starts -- Ambievant has hit the board in all three races that he has gone without the blinkers although he was disqualified to fourth in the Grade 2 Best Pal Stakes. Stalker.
#2 Spielberg (6/5) finally broke his maiden in his fourth start on Nov. 13. However, Spielberg -- bought for $1 million -- did previously finish third in the Grade 1 American Pharoah Stakes and second in the Runhappy Del Mar Futility. The son of Union Rags is trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Abel Cedillo, who have a 35% strike rate along with a 75% WPS percentage when working together over the past year. He finished ahead of Weston in their lone matchup. Stalker.
#3 Weston (3/1) has not raced since finishing third in the Del Mar Futility. He did win the Best Pal Stakes two starts ago. Weston has also been training extremely well for trainer Ryan Hansen. The son of Hit It a Bomb is 0-1 against Spielberg and 2-0 versus Ambivalent. Pace setter/pressurer.
#4 Coastal Kid (15/1) has produced a win and a third-place result despite encountering major trouble in both events. Coastal Kid finished third in the Gottstein Futility at Emerald Downs on Oct. 1. He also turned in a decent training effort and gets blinkers (for the time) for trainer Jeffrey Metz. A fast closer.
#5 Red Flag (6/1) is coming off the turf. He has gotten off to a slow in each of his first two starts. Red Flag, who finished fifth in his initial outing on the dirt, turned in a good workout two training sessions ago. This is the first time that the son of Tamarkuz will go this distance.
#6 Uncle Boogie (5/1) showed improvement in his last outing over his debut, finishing second in a $50,000 five-and-one-half furlong starter allowance event on Oct. 31. Uncle Boogie, a stalker, has gotten off to a slow start in each of those first two starts. Stretching out to seven furlongs for the first-time distance, this is also the first time that he is going over five-and-one-half furlongs. Trainer Andrew Lerner and jockey Flavien Prat have an incredible 37% win rate and have cashed in 67% of the time when working together.
Analysts: This should be an understanding race. Spielberg and Weston are the only horses in the field that have run this distance while Weston, Uncle Boogie, and Red Flag are not getting distance relief in this one. There is also good speed in this affair with Spielberg and Weston being the class in that area. I expect Weston and Spielberg to battle each other throughout the event. However, if the pace or battle ends up too much for either or both, Ambivalent or Coastal Kid could steal the trophy.
Projected order of finish: 1. Weston 2. Spielberg 3. Coastal Kid 4. Ambivalent 4. Uncle Boogie 5. Red Flag