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Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros Free Pick- 8/4/13

Houston Astros (36-73) at Minnesota Twins (47-60)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, August 4, 2013 at 2:10 pm (Target Field)

Dallas Keuchel (L) (5-4) (4.500) vs. Michael Pelfrey (R) (4-9) (5.309)

Minnesota Twins / Houston Astros --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The miserable Houston Astros are on the cusp of being swept at the not so great Minnesota Twins Sunday due to twice being unable to hold onto leads.

Saturday's game was there for Houston, but a three-run seventh inning off the bullpen won it for Minnesota. Brian Dozier's RBI-double began the blood shed during the seventh. Ryan Doumit's single and Oswaldo Arcia's walk followed.

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros Free Pick- 8/4/13

Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Earlier, the Twins scored via a Joe Mauer groundout, Doug Bernier single and Clete Thomas steal. The Astros, conversely, led 4-3 due to Brett Wallace's home run, Ryan Grossman's RBI-single and L.J. Hoes' RBI-single during the third.

Houston sends out Dallas Keuchel (5-6, 4.64 ERA), who hasn't lost more than two decisions in a row. On Aug. 2 at Minnesota, Keuchel was beaten 4-3 by the Twins, giving up a run during 1.2 frames. Keuchel, however, has been good enough in a number of away starts to at least keep the Astros competitive. Houston is 5-5 in Keuchel's road affairs, falling four times by a run and another time by two.

Keuchel's away victories are over the Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays, allowing eight runs during 14.1 innings. In Keuchel's road defeats, aside from Minnesota, the Chicago Cubs and Seattle Mariners brought in five runs, four earned, during 12 frames. The Twins are 2-of-6 with a Dozier RBI versus Keuchel.

Minnesota, meanwhile, hands the baseball to Mike Pelfrey (4-9, 5.31 ERA) for Game Three. Pelfrey has taken six defeats in his last seven decisions and is just 2-4 at Target Field. Pelfrey's last four Target decisions have been losses, allowing 17
runs during 18 innings to the Chicago White Sox, Kansas City Royals, Miami Marlins and Seattle.

Pelfrey tripped up the Detroit Tigers and Los Angeles Angels in August at Target Field, 8-2 and 8-6, yielding six runs, four earned, during 10.1 frames. The Astros are 1-of-6 against Pelfrey. This is a lean to the Twins.

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