Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick - 8/28/13
San Diego Padres (59-73) at Arizona Diamondbacks (68-63)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, August 28, 2013 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)
Edinson Volquez (R) (9-10) (6.007) vs. Wade Miley (L) (9-8) (3.596)
Arizona Diamondbacks -177 / San Diego Padres +167 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSAZ, FSSD
The San Diego Padres battled Tuesday, but still got stuck with the same result on Monday at the Arizona Diamondbacks, a 10-9 10-frame loss. SD tries to avoid being swept Wednesday.
The visitors led 3-0 right away due to Jed Gyorko's and Chase Headley's RBI-singles, along with Nick Hundley's sacrifice fly. Arizona leveled the game an inning later on one swing by Gerardo Parra. Paul Goldschmidt gave the D-Backs the lead during the top of the fifth. Parra's single and Martin Prado's walk upped Arizona's advantage to three and four runs.
Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports
The Padres wouldn't die, though, tying things up during the eighth and ninth frames. San Diego scored on Ronny Cedeno's RBI-double, Mark Kotsay's RBI-single and Gyorko's RBI-single, Hundley's RBI-single and Cedeno's RBI-bunt. Prado's double during the bottom of the eighth momentarily gave the Diamondbacks the lead back. The Padres outhit Arizona 14-12, but the D-Backs' Aaron Hill's RBI-single proved to be the difference in the game.
On Tuesday, it was Arizona revealing an interesting ace, David Homberg (7.36 ERA), from their hand. I nearly was right about SD winning with ex-Diamondback Ian Kennedy (5-9, 5.10 ERA) on the hill. This time, Arizona appears to be going with Wade Miley (9-8, 3.60 ERA). If the D-Backs don't, they might as well kiss their playoff dreams good-bye. Arizona is 8.5 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the division and five games back of the Cincinnati Reds for the final wild-card spot with a little more than a month left in the regular season.
As it is, Miley hasn't had a decision in four starts, but the Diamondbacks are 7-2 in his last nine and 5-1 in his last six appearances. Miley at Chase Field is 5-2, winning his last four decisions, seeing in six runs during 30.2 innings. All of those victories have come since July 6.
The Padres, though, are Miley's Kryptonite, striking for 17 runs, 12 earned, during 14.2 frames in three Miley defeats, 10-4 at Chase May 25. San Diego is 40-of-128 with 21 RBIs, a nickel Jesus Guzman's, versus Miley.
The Padres might be the one flip-flopping on Wednesday. Expected to start is Edinson Volquez (9-10, 6.01 ERA), but it appears SD instead will try their luck with Robbie Erlin (1-2, 7.15 ERA). The Padres are 2-4 with Erlin on the bump, going just 1-3 in his away travels. Erlin is 0-2 on the road, losing both July starts at the Boston Red Sox and Washington Nationals, giving up 12 runs during 7.2 innings.
The Chicago Cubs knocked in two runs during two frames of work on April 30 and May 1 against Erlin in a 13-7 San Diego win and 6-2 Padres loss. Although Miley's the anticipated starter and has had trouble with Arizona, a 22-year-old Erlin should give the D-Backs enough belief to conquer Miley's demon, SD.