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Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick - 8/28/13

Texas Rangers (77-55) at Seattle Mariners (59-72)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, August 28, 2013 at 3:40 pm (Safeco Field)

Martin Perez (L) (7-3) (3.622) vs. Felix Hernandez (R) (12-7) (2.632)

Seattle Mariners -153 / Texas Rangers +143 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds


The Texas Rangers moved closer to a sweep at the Seattle Mariners after slipping past Seattle 4-3 Tuesday evening. Texas now eyes a sweep, following near disaster.

The M's were positioned to win the game during the bottom of the ninth with a couple runners aboard, but could not get a run home. With runners on first and second base during the 10th, Seattle was unable to square the score.

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Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick - 8/28/13

Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

Kendrys Morales, Justin Smoak, Mitch Moreland, David Murphy, Elvis Andrus and Franklin Gutierrez drove in runs off Derek Holland (9-6, 3.00 ERA) and Hisashi Iwakuma (12-6, 3.03 ERA), who were far from their best. The Rangers' and Mariners' aces gave up three runs apiece during six frames each. Ian Kinsler made his way home during the 10th on a Danny Farquhar (0-2, 4.67) balk.

Felix Hernandez (12-7, 2.63 ERA) lets it fly for Seattle, trying to avoid his fourth loss in his last five starts. The M's are 1-4 this month when Hernandez takes the hill and 1-5 the last six times he's started. At Safeco Field, Seattle is just 5-8 when Hernandez starts.

Hernandez is 5-4 at Safeco, with two of the losses coming to Texas 4-3 and 5-2, yielding a total of nine runs, eight earned, during 12.1 innings. In Hernandez's two most recent Safeco Field defeats, he bled for eight runs during 11 frames. By comparison, in home wins, Hernandez has conceded eight runs, seven earned, during 38.1 innings. Versus Hernandez, the Rangers are 118-of-437 with 53 RBIs, 16 belonging to Murphy.

Texas returns to the mound with Martin Perez (7-3, 3.62 ERA), who's won all four of his August starts. The Rangers are 9-4 altogether when Perez goes, including going 5-3 on the road. Perez has won at the Chicago White Sox, Houston Astros and Los Angeles Angels alone in August, allowing seven runs during 22.1 frames. Perez also toppled the Baltimroe Orioles and St. Louis Cardinals in away games, conceding six runs, four earned, during 13 innings.

At the Arizona Diamondbacks and Detroit Tigers, though, Perez surrendered nine runs, eight earned, during 11 frames to fall 5-3 and 5-0. The Mariners have knocked in four runs, three earned, during 12.1 innings off Perez, who won 15-3 and helped Texas to a 5-4 victory. Seattle is 19-of-72 with four RBIs, a pair Kyle Seager's, against Perez. With the Rangers already handing Hernandez two Safeco defeats in hismost recent starts, I'm backing Perez and Texas.

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