San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick 9/2/13
San Francisco Giants (61-75) at San Diego Padres (60-76)
MLB Baseball: Monday, September 2, 2013 at 3:40 pm (PETCO Park)
Barry Zito (L) (4-10) (5.596) vs. Ian Kennedy (R) (5-9) (5.095)
The Line: San Diego Padres -172 / San Francisco Giants +162 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSN-Bay, FS-San Diego
The San Diego Padres and the San Francisco Giants face-off on Monday at Petco Park for game one of their series of NL West also-rans.
The San Diego Padres have been wheeling and dealing for years, always seemingly trading away top level talent for prospects, but it just hasn’t yielded the results they had hoped for. The Padres are 21 games back and in last place in the NL West and head into this game as losers of their last three games. The Padres have been decent at the plate, with Carlos Quentin and Will Venable hitting .275 and Chris Denorfia hitting .273, but, for the most part it just hasn’t been enough. Ian Kennedy gets the start on the mound for the Padres and he is 5-9 on the season with a 5.10 ERA and it hasn’t gotten any better recently, as he is 1-1 with a 6.19 ERA in his last three starts.
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The San Francisco Giants aren’t making a run at repeating as World Series Champions and it has really been their pitching that has let them down. The Giants have losing records both at home and on the road, but an uncharacteristic 4.47 ERA for their starting pitchers. The Giants bats got it done this season, with Buster Posey hitting .308, Marco Scutaro hitting .298, and Hunter Pence hitting .285. Barry Zito gets the start for game one in San Diego and he has been miserable of late at 0-3 in his last three starts, with a 12.27 ERA and he is 4-10 on the season with a 5.81 ERA.
San Diego is 2-6 in their last eight games against a left-handed starter, 4-1 in their last five games against a team with a losing record, and 1-5 in their last six games overall. San Francisco is 12-23 as an underdog, 8-20 in game one of a series, and 1-10 in Zito’s last 11 road starts. San Francisco has won five of the last six meetings bertween these two.
While Zito has been awful, Kennedy simply isn’t worth this price, so in a game where the pitchers could both get bombed, I am going with the Giants, who generally play the Padres well.