Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick 9/3/13
St. Louis Cardinals (79-58) at Cincinnati Reds (77-61)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, September 3, 2013 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
Michael Wacha (R) (1-0) (4.367) vs. Homer Bailey (R) (9-10) (3.553)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -143 / St. Louis Cardinals +133 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FS-Midwest, FS-Ohio
The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals face-off on Tuesday at Great American Ballpark for game two of their very important series in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati Reds jumped all over the Cardinals early on Monday and cruised to a win to close their gap on the second place Cards. Shin-Soo CHoo and Joey Votto hit home runs and Jay Bruce and Ryan Ludwick added two hits each to pace the Reds, who posted seven runs on 12 hits. Starting pitcher Mat Latos pitched a four hit masterpiece, allowing two runs, but never allowing the Cardinals any kind of hope. For Sunday’s game, the Reds start Homer Bailey, who has recovered from his post no-hitter hangover and is pitching the best he has all season. While Bailey is 9-10 on the season with a 3.55 ERA, he is 2-0 in his last three starts, with a 1.69 ERA. Bailey shutout the Cardinals on August 29th in St. Louis.
David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports
It was the worst of all worlds for the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday, as they lost to the Reds and lost a game of their second place position and at the same time fell a game behind the Pirates in the NL Central. Matt Holliday had two hits and Matt Carpenter had a hit, while David Freese reached on a walk, as the Cardinals managed just two runs on four hits. Adam Wainwright was shelled as his bad performances against the Reds continued, allowing 10 hits and six runs over 6.0 innings and getting hung with the loss. The Cardinals try and bounce back on Tuesday, as they start Michael Wacha, who is 2-0 on the season with a 3.78 ERA, but 1-0 in his last three starts with a 1.69 ERA.
Cincinnati is 9-3 in their last 12 home games against a right-handed starter, 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite, and 2-5 in Bailey’s last seven home starts. The Cardinals are 9-5 in their last 14 games against a right-handed starter, 4-11 in their last 15 games as a road underdog, and 4-12 as a road underdog against a team with a winning record. St. Louis is 8-4 in the last 12 meetings of these two.
This one should be low-scoring and for my free pick I am going to go with the under. I also have a play on the winning team and I will post that pick in the Premium Area.