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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Free Pick 9/10/13

Chicago Cubs (61-82) at Cincinnati Reds (82-63)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, September 10, 2013 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Edwin Jackson (R) (7-15) (4.914) vs. Tony Cingrani (L) (7-3) (2.634)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds -220 / Chicago Cubs +205 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSN-Chicago, FS-Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs meet on Tuesday in Cincinnati for game two of their series.

The Cincinnati Reds are in a dogfight in the N.L. Central and they didn’t help themselves any losing on Monday to the Cubs in the series opener. Joey Votto and Zack Cozart each had two hits and Brandon Phillips and Shin-Soo Choo each had hits, as the Reds were shutout on seven hits. Starting pitcher Bronson Arroyo allowed seven hits and two runs, while striking out six over 7.0 innings to take his 11th loss of the year. For Tuesday’s game, the Reds start Tony Cingrani, who is 7-3 with a 2.80 ERA for the season and 2-1 with a 2.35 ERA in his last three starts.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Free Pick 9/10/13

Frank Victores-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs are just playing out the season, but in the role of spoiler, they notched a win against the Reds on Monday. Luis Valbuena and Ryan Sweeney each hit home runs and Dioner Navarro each had hits as the Cubs scored two runs on seven hits. Starting pitcher Travis Wood allowed six hits and struck out seven over 7.0 innings to get his ninth win and Kevin Gregg earned his 31st save. For Tuesday’s game, the Cubs start Edwin Jackson, who is 7-15 with a 4.91 ERA for the season and 2-1 with a 2.35 ERA in his last three starts.

Cincinnati is 4-1 in their last five home games, 5-2 in their last seven games as a favorite, and 6-1 in CIngrani’s last seven starts against a team with a winning record. Chicago is 5-0 in their last five games against a left-handed starter, 13-27 in their last 40 games, and 0-6 in Jackson’s last six starts. Chicago is 8-19 in their last 27 games in Cincinnati.

While the odds are just out of hand here, the Reds are still the far better play, even at the tough price.

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