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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick 9/12/13

Milwaukee Brewers (62-82) at St. Louis Cardinals (85-60)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, September 12, 2013 at 8:15 pm (Busch Stadium)

Tyler Thornburg (R) (0-1) (1.125) vs. Joe Kelly (R) (8-1) (2.057)

The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -172 / Milwaukee Brewers +165 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: Fox Midwest

The Milwaukee Brewers face off against the St. Louis in game three of their three game series.

The Cardinals have a 2-0 lead over the Brewers in their three game series that ends Thursday night. The Cards defeated the Brewers 5-1 on Wednesday with Rosenthal getting the win. Lance Lynn got the start for the Cards on Wednesday against the Brewers and went six full innings, giving up just one run off of five hits. St. Louis will be sending out Joe Kelly on Thursday against the Brewers. Kelly has six appearances and three starts against the Brewers with an ERA of 4.79 and a WHIP of 1.65 against Milwaukee. In Kelly’s last ousting against the Brewers, Kelly went one inning, giving up two runs off of three hits.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick 9/12/13

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing for pride only at this point of the season. The Brewers are down two games to none on the Cards, and even though the game doesn’t mean anything to them in the standing, the Brewers would love to avoid the sweep by a division rival. The Brewers will be sending Tyler Thornburg to the mound on Thursday against the Cards. Thornburg has one career start against the Cardinals. In that start, Thornburg lasted four and two thirds innings, giving up two runs off of five hits.

The Brewers have really struggled on the road this season, going just 31-42 away from Miller Park. The Cardinals on the other hand have played very well at Busch Stadium, with a record of 46-25 at home. The Cardinals have also dominated divisional opponents this season, going 41-28 overall.

I’m going to make a play on the run line for the Cards here. I have tried to find an angle to take the Brewers over the Cards, but really, I just don’t see one. Normally I don’t play run lines as it can be a very tough call in baseball, but this is just way too much juice for me to lay.

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