Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick 9/13/13
San Diego Padres (66-79) at Atlanta Braves (88-58)
MLB Baseball: Friday, September 13, 2013 at 7:30 pm (Turner Field)
Ian Kennedy (R) (6-9) (4.864) vs. Paul Maholm (L) (10-10) (4.351)
The Line: Atlanta Braves -139 / San Diego Padres +129 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
TV: FS-San Diego, FS-South
The Atlanta Braves and the San Diego Padres face-off on Friday as they begin their weekend series.
The Atlanta Braves are counting down the games until they clinch the National League East and they are just gearing up for another postseason. The Braves are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 51-20 at home this season, and have an 11 game lead with a little over two weeks left in the season. As a team, the Braves are hitting .250, with Chris Johnson hitting .330, Freddie Freeman hitting .309, and Justin Upton hitting .256. For Friday’s game, the Braves start Davis Hale, who gets his first Major League start after he was 6-9 with 3.22 ERA in Gwinnett this season.
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The San Diego Padres have muddled around the middle of the N.L. West standings all season long, never really threatening to make a move on the leaders. The Padres are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 25-46 on the road, and they are 19.5 games back in the N.L. West standings. As a team, the Padres are hitting .247 with Will Venable hitting .271, Chris Denorfia hitting .269, and Alexi Amarista hitting .260. For game one in Atlanta, the Padres start Ian Kennedy, who is 6-9 with a 4.86 ERA for the season and 1-0 with a 4.70 ERA in his last three starts.
Atlanta is 44-15 in their last 59 home games, 25-10 against a team with a losing record, and 37-17 in their last 54 games as a favorite. San Diego is 4-2 in their last six games, 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog, and 1-5 in their last six road games. San Diego has won the last four meetings of these two.
While the Braves have the first-time starter on the mound, they are also the better team and I give them the edge here in a play that is just a lean for me.