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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick 9/27/13

Pittsburgh Pirates (91-68) at Cincinnati Reds (90-69)

MLB Baseball: Friday, September 27, 2013 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

AJ Burnett (R) (9-11) (3.393) vs. Homer Bailey (R) (11-11) (3.397)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds -131 / Pittsburgh Pirates +121 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds

TV: ROOT-Pittsburgh, FS-Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet on Friday in Cincinnati in game one of their season ending series which will decide who is the home team for the National League Wildcard game.

The Cincinnati Reds have a record that is one loss worse than the Pirates as they head into this series. The Reds have lost their last two game and are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are 49-28 at home this season. As a team the Reds are hitting .250 with Billy Hamilton hitting .389, Joey Votto hitting .304, and Shin-Soo Choo hitting .286. Fro Friday’s game the Reds start Homer Bailey who is 11-11 for the season with a 3.40 ERA and 1-1 with a 3.20 ERA in his last three starts.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick 9/27/13

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sport

The Pittsburgh Pirates control their destiny when it comes to wildcard positioning but they have not played their best baseball down the stretch. The Pirates are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 41-37 on the road this season, and they have a one game edge over the Reds. As a team the Pirates are hitting .245 with Andrew McCutchen hitting .318, Starling Marte is hitting .283, and Marlon Byrd is hitting .283. For game one at Cincinnati the Pirates stat A.J. Burnett who is 9-11 with a 3.39 ERA and 2-1 with a 4.05 ERA in his last three starts.

Cincinnati is 5-2 in their last seven game one of a series, 4-0 in their last four home games against a team with a winning record, and 8-2 in Bailey’s last 10 starts. Pittsburgh is 5-1 in their last six road games, 17-8 in their last 25 games as an underdog, and 2-7 in Burnett’s last nine road starts. Pittsburgh is 3-7 in their last 10 games in Cincinnati.

In essence this is a playoff game and expect it to have that feel and to be played like one and expect runs to be tough to come by so my free pick is the under. I also have a play on the winning side and I will post that winner in the Premium Area. 

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