San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick 9/28/13
San Diego Padres (75-85) at San Francisco Giants (75-85)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, September 28, 2013 at 4:05 pm (AT&T Park)
Eric Stults (L) (10-13) (3.936) vs. Yusmeiro Petit (R) (4-0) (2.769)
The Line: San Francisco Giants -133 / San Diego Padres +123 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
The San Diego Padres hope to get their first win of the series on Saturday when the Padres face the Giants in San Francisco.
The San Francisco Giants defeated the Padres on Friday 7-3. San Francisco had Vogelsong on the hill against the Padres, and Vogelsong was solid in his final outing of the season. The Giants starter went six full innings, giving up just two runs off of five hits to the Padres. The Giants will be looking for a similar performance on Saturday when the Giants send Yusmeiro Petit to the hill. Petit is 4-0 this season with an ERA of 2.84 and a strikeout to walk ratio of 45/11. Petit has seven appearances, and two career starts against the Padres, and in that time the Giants starter has gone 0-3 with an ERA of 5.40 with a WHIP of 1.56. In Petit’s last outing against the Padres, the Giants starter went four and two thirds innings, giving up two runs off of seven hits.
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The San Diego Padres got run out of the stadium on Friday against the Giants. The Padres had Smith on the hill against the Giants on Friday, and Smith got shelled by San Francisco, giving up six runs off of eight hits, in just five and two thirds innings of work. The Padres bullpen did pitch well, but San Diego used four different arms, with both Brach and Hynes going a full inning, so as the season goes on bullpen fatigue could be an issue. The Padres will have Eric Stults on the hill Saturday afternoon against the Giants. Stults has 14 career starts against the Giants, with an ERA of 5.33 and a WHIP of 1.50 against San Francisco. In Stultz’s last outing against the Giants, the Padres starter went just four and two thirds innings, giving up seven runs off of nine hits.
Against right handed starters this season, San Diego is 48-57 on the season. The Giants are 50-55 against right handed starts this season.
I’m going to lay the Giants in this spot. I know Petit has struggled against the Padres in his career, but the Giants starter has been money at home this season, going 1-0 with an ERA of 1.84 and a WHIP of 0.613. The Giants showed me on Friday that they are fighting to the end, while the Padres had the look of just getting to the end.