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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros - 4/8/14

Houston Astros (3-3) at Toronto Blue Jays (3-4)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, April 8, 2014 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Brett Oberholtzer (L) (0-1) (4.762) vs. Mark Buehrle (L) (1-0) (0.000)

The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -187 / Houston Astros +177 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


The Houston Astros and Toronto Blue Jays will begin a three-game series on Tuesday night.

The Houston Astros have lost four of their last five games and are coming off a 3-1 series loss to the Los Angeles Angels. As expected, the Astros aren’t getting much production from their lineup, as Houston has scored two or fewer runs in four of its last five games. The pitching has also been inconsistent out of the gate, which is something Brett Oberholtzer hopes to change in game 1. Oberholtzer pitched 5.2 innings in his first start against the Yankees, and allowed five hits and three runs. Oberholtzer had a 2.41 ERA on the road last season and will be making his first career start against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros - 4/8/14


The Blue Jays have lost three of their last four games and received Monday off after losing two of three games to the Yankees. While it’s expected the Blue Jays lineup will wake up sooner than later, it’s Toronto’s pitching that really needs to turn things around. The Blue Jays have allowed six or more runs in three of their last four games and have walked 30 batters in seven games. One of the pitchers who did well in his first start is Mark Buehrle, who allowed four hits and zero runs in 8.2 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays. Buehrle is 3-0 with a 0.72 ERA in three career starts against the Astros. 

The Astros are 0-5 in Oberholtzer's last 5 starts and 23-63 in their last 86 games as an underdog. The Blue Jays are 7-1 in Buehrle's last 8 starts as a home favorite and 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. 

I really hate laying the heavy chalk in a baseball game, but there’s some value to getting the Blue Jays under -200. Unless Buehrle has a ridiculously off night, I simply don’t see the Astros winning this ball game. The Blue Jays offense is going to start clicking eventually, and there’s no better time than against a Houston pitching staff that is allowing a truckload of runs to begin the season.

Take the Blue Jays while you still can.

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