Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins - 4/10/14
Miami Marlins (5-3) at Washington Nationals (5-2)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, April 10, 2014 at 4:05 pm (Nationals Park)
Tom Koehler (R) (1-0) (3.000) vs. Stephen Strasburg (R) (0-1) (6.099)
The Line: Washington Nationals -240 / Miami Marlins +220 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
The Washington Nationals will look to sweep the Miami Marlins on Thursday afternoon. The Nationals came from behind and won game 2, 10-7.
The Marlins have discovered that life is tough on the road, as they’ve now lost three straight games, including their first series of the season regardless of what happens on Thursday. However, the Marlins did get back to hitting the ball well, as they produced 14 hits and scored five runs in the first two innings on Wednesday. Tom Koehler will get the start for the Marlins on Thursday. In Koehler’s first start, he lasted six innings, giving up seven hits and two runs while picking up the win over San Diego. Koehler was 3-5 on the road last season with a 4.23 ERA, and he’s 1-1 with a 6.55 ERA in two career starts against the Nationals.
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The Nationals improve to 6-2 on the season and are starting to look more and more like the NL East favorites. While Washington’s pitching didn’t hold up on Wednesday, the Nationals offense has scored five or more runs in their first eight games this season. Washington may not need that many runs on Thursday with Stephan Strasburg taking the mound. This will be Strasburg’s third start this season, and he’s 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA and has 16 strikeouts in 10.1 innings. Strasburg is 6-3 with a 3.91 ERA in 14 career starts against the Marlins.
The Marlins are 1-4 in Koehler's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. The Nationals are 8-2 in Strasburg's last 10 starts and 0-6 in Strasburg's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Nationals are 4-1 in Strasburg's last 5 starts vs. Marlins and the Marlins are 4-17 in the last 21 meetings in Washington.
Strasburg hasn't been himself as of late and allowed four runs in his last start against the Mets. The Marlins have been hitting the ball well and probably should have won Wednesday's matchup. Koehler is another one of those Marlins' pitchers who has started the year off strong and has pretty good stuff.
I like the value we're getting with the Marlins in this spot. Give me the fish.