Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds - 4/20/14
Cincinnati Reds (7-9) at Chicago Cubs (4-11)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, April 20, 2014 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)
Homer Bailey (R) (0-1) (8.165) vs. Carlos Villanueva (R) (1-1) (11.250)
The Line: Chicago Cubs -105 / Cincinnati Reds -105 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-OH, WCIU
The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs will play a rubber game on Sunday afternoon. The Cubs tied the series up with an 8-4 win on Saturday.
The Reds had their three-game winning streak come to an end with the loss and have won four of their last six games. Brandon Phillips has 20 hits, but hasn’t scored a run in nine straight games, while Joey Votto and Todd Frazier lead the way with four homeruns apiece. The Reds pitching staff has been solid throughout the year, but Homer Bailey enters Sunday’s matchup with a 0-1 record and 8.16 ERA, as he’s allowed 13 runs in 14.1 innings of work. Bailey is 7-2 with a 4.48 ERA in 13 career starts against the Cubs.
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With the win, the Cubs sapped their five-game losing streak and improve to 5-11 on the season. The eight runs were the most the Cubs have scored all season, as this is an offense that has struggled to put runs on the board. Starlin Castro leads the Cubs with nine RBI and has four hits in his last three games. Carlos Villanueva enters the game with an 11.57 ERA, as he’s allowed 20 hits and 12 earned runs in 9.1 innings of work. Villanueva is 2-3 with a 4.12 ERA in seven career starts against the Reds.
The Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series and 4-0 in Bailey's last 4 starts as a road favorite. The Cubs are 2-5 in Villanueva's last 7 starts as an underdog and 3-10 in Villanueva's last 13 starts. The Reds are 10-1 in Bailey's last 11 starts vs. Cubs.
Look at Bailey's numbers against the Cubs in his career and then lock in the Reds to win. Getting the Reds at this price is an absolute steal given the way the Cubs have struggled and with Bailey's success against the Cubs.