Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/24/14
San Diego Padres (10-11) at Washington Nationals (11-10)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, April 24, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)
Eric Stults (L) (1-2) (4.354) vs. Jordan Zimmermann (R) (1-1) (3.919)
The Line: Washington Nationals -176 / San Diego Padres +166 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-SD, MASN 2
The San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals will take the field Thursday to begin a four-game series.
The Padres lost two of three to the Milwaukee Brewers and have lost three of their last four games overall. As has been the case all season, the Padres simply aren’t scoring enough to be a consistent winning baseball team. The Padres have scored three or less runs in eight of their last nine games and four batters have struck out at least 20 times already. With that being the case, Eric Stults will have to bring his A game, as he’s 1-2 on the season with a 4.35 ERA and has allowed 24 hits and 10 earned runs in 20.2 innings. Stults allowed just one run in eight innings, earning the win in his only career start against the Nationals.
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The Nationals lost two of three to the Los Angeles Angles and have lost four of their last seven games overall. Much like the Padres, the Nationals aren’t getting much offensive production either, scoring just three or less runs in five of their last six games. Ian Desmond has struck out 30 times and Jayson Werth has just one homerun in his last 13 games. Jordan Zimmerman will have to be more consistent when he takes the mound, as he’s 1-1 on the year with a 3.92 ERA and has 23 strikeouts in 20.2 innings. Zimmerman has allowed nine earned runs and is 1-2 with a 1.95 ERA in five career starts against the Padres.
The Padres are 5-2 in Stults' last 7 starts and 4-12 in Stults' last 16 road starts. The Nationals are 20-6 in Zimmermanns last 26 starts as a home favorite and 21-7 in Zimmermanns last 28 home starts. The Padres are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
I usually find value in big underdogs, but I just don't see it here with the lack of offense for the Padres. Sure, the Nationals have struggled to score as well, but at least they're at home and have the better lineup that should eventually break out of their funk. There's better games on the schedule to choose from, but take the Nationals as long as you think the price is fair enough.