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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/28/14

Colorado Rockies (13-12) at Arizona Diamondbacks (8-19)

MLB Baseball: Monday, April 28, 2014 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)

Franklin Morales (L) (2-1) (4.015) vs. Wade Miley (L) (2-2) (4.500)

The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -122 / Colorado Rockies +112 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds


The Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks take the field on Monday for game one of a three-game series. The Rockies won the earlier series between these teams, 2-1.

The Rockies just took two of three from the Los Angeles Dodgers and have been one of the hotter teams in baseball, winning seven of their last 10 games. The Rockies pitching staff has been key in this impressive turnaround, as they’ve allowed two or less runs in six of their last 10 games, which is a drastic improvement considering the Rockies are ranked 22nd in team ERA. Franklin Morales hopes to keep up the good work, as he enters Monday’s matchup 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA and has 21 strikeouts in 25.2 innings. Morales is 1-2 with a 3.49 ERA in 16 career games against the Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/28/14


The Diamondbacks lost two of three to the Philadelphia Phillies and have now lost six of their last nine games overall. The positive sign for the Diamondbacks is that they are getting results from their offense, scoring five or more runs in four of their last five games. Remember, this is a Diamondbacks team that has struck out 209 times and has only two starters with a batting average higher than .275. The pitching is what’s killed the D-Backs lately and Wade Miley hopes to turn it around, as he’s 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA and has 34 strikeouts in 36 innings. Miley is 7-0 with a 2.52 ERA in nine career starts against the Rockies. 

The Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series and 4-0 in Morales' last 4 starts as an underdog. The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Mileys last 5 starts and 9-2 in Mileys last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Mileys last 6 home starts vs. Rockies.

The value may be in taking the better team in the Rockies and the plus money. However, do you see Miley’s career numbers against the Rockies? Sometimes players just have a certain team’s number, and that’s likely the case here.

Take the D-Backs and the juice. 

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