San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/30/14
San Diego Padres (13-14) at San Francisco Giants (15-11)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, April 30, 2014 at 10:15 pm (AT&T Park)
Robbie Erlin (L) (1-3) (6.545) vs. Tim Hudson (R) (3-1) (2.189)
The Line: San Francisco Giants -171 / San Diego Padres +161 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-SD, CSN-BA
The San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants will play a rubber game on Wednesday night. The Giants tied the series with a 6-0 win in game two.
The Padres have lost four of their last seven games and fall two games below .500 with a 13-15 record. The Padres lack of run support continues to be their downfall, as they’ve been held to two or less runs in five of their last eight games. In Tuesday’s loss, the Padres produced only three hits and struck out six times. The Padres pitching, however, has been solid and Robbie Erlin hopes to keep it up, as he’s 1-3 with a 6.35 ERA and has 20 strikeouts in 22.2 innings. Erlin is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA in two career starts against the Giants.
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The Giants remain red hot, winning five of their last six games. The Giants pitching staff continues to prove its one of the best in the business, holding teams to three or less runs in five of their last seven games. The Giants headed into Tuesday with a team ERA of 3.41 and have allowed only 227 hits in 235 innings. It won’t get any easier for the Padres with Tim Hudson on the mound, as he is 3-1 with a 2.19 ERA and has 25 strikeouts in 37 innings. Hudson is also 6-2 with a 2.78 ERA in 13 career starts against the Padres.
The Padres are 6-13 in their last 19 Wednesday games. The Giants are 4-1 in Hudson's last 5 starts and 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. The Padres are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in San Francisco.
It's tough to pick against Hudson with the way he's pitching and with the success he has had in his career against the Padres. I don't like the price we're getting with the Giants, but there's little value in backing the Padres in this spot.