Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/1/14
Atlanta Braves (17-8) at Miami Marlins (12-14)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, May 1, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Marlins Park)
Ervin Santana (R) (3-0) (1.952) vs. Henderson Alvarez (R) (1-2) (2.730)
The Line: Miami Marlins +123 / Atlanta Braves -133 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
TV: SPSO, FSN-FL
The Miami Marlins will look to sweep the Atlanta Braves on Thursday night.
The Braves have really struggled in this series, scoring a combined three runs and racking up just nine hits. Of course, the Braves pitching staff hasn’t been much better in this series, allowing nine runs in both losses. This is a Braves team that allowed one or less runs in four of their last five previous games. Justin Upton, however, has 13 hits in his last 10 games. Getting the start on Thursday will be Ervin Santana, who is 3-0 with a 1.95 ERA and has 31 strikeouts in 27.2 innings. Santana is 0-2 with a 6.59 ERA in three career starts against the Marlins.
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The Marlins improve to 11-4 at home and have a chance to pick up their second sweep of the season. In 15 of those home games, the Marlins have scored seven or more runs in eight matchups. Marcell Ozuna has seven hits in his last six games and Giancarlo Stanton still leads the team eight homeruns and 31 RBI. Pitching wise, the Marlins have been on point in this series and Henderson Alvarez hopes to keep it up, as he’s 1-2 with a 2.73 ERA and has 18 strikeouts in 29.2 innings. Alvarez is 0-2 with a 6.86 ERA in four career starts against the Braves.
The Braves are 41-19 in their last 60 games as a favorite and 4-0 in Santana's last 4 starts as a favorite. The Marlins are 9-1 in their last 10 games as a home underdog and 2-5 in Alvarez's last 7 home starts. The Braves are 22-7 in the last 29 meetings in Miami.
You have to like the Marlins with the way they're playing at home. The fish are tearing the cover off the ball and shutting down the Braves bats down. You have to like the value the Marlins are getting.