Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/2/14
Seattle Mariners (11-14) at Houston Astros (9-19)
MLB Baseball: Friday, May 2, 2014 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)
Felix Hernandez (R) (3-1) (2.395) vs. Brad Peacock (R) (0-1) (4.500)
The Line: Houston Astros +177 / Seattle Mariners -187 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ROOT-NW, CSN-HOU
The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros will begin a three-game series on Friday. When these teams met a week ago, the Astros won the series 2-1.
The Mariners are playing some of their best baseball of the season, winning five of their last six games and moving within two games of a .500 record. The Mariners offense has scored five or more runs in four of their last six games, which is a drastic improvement for a team that’s scored just 97 runs so far. Robinson Cano has 13 hits and eight stolen bases in his last nine games. Felix Hernandez should be in good hands with that type of run support, as he enters this matchup 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA and has 47 strikeouts in 41.1 innings. Hernandez is 2-2 with a 2.16 ERA in four career starts against the Astros.
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The Astros are still one of the worst teams in baseball and have lost five of their last seven games. Ranked 29th in the majors in runs scored and 28th in team ERA, the Astros have been held to three or less runs in 18 of their first 28 games. Matt Dominguez and Jason Castro are the only two Astros with double-digit RBI, and both hitters are batting .231 or below. Brad Peacock hopes to make the best of it as he’s 0-2 on the season with a 5.95 ERA and has 18 strikeouts in 19.2 innings. Peacock is 2-2 with a 7.20 ERA in four career starts against the Mariners.
The Mariners are 5-1 in Hernandez's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record and 5-11 in Hernandez's last 16 starts. The Astros are 1-6 in Peacock's last 7 home starts and 12-40 in their last 52 games as a home underdog. The Mariners are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
Sorry, but there's just no way I'm picking against Hernandez with the way he's been pitching and the way the Astros have been stinking it up. The price is insane, so it's probably best for you to find another game. However, this is as close to a lock as you're going to get on the Friday card.