Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/4/14
San Francisco Giants (18-11) at Atlanta Braves (17-11)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, May 4, 2014 at 1:35 pm (Turner Field)
Madison Bumgarner (L) (2-3) (3.743) vs. Alex Wood (L) (2-4) (2.925)
The Line: Atlanta Braves -120 / San Francisco Giants +110 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSN-BA, FSN-S
The San Francisco Giants will go for the sweep over the Atlanta Braves on Sunday afternoon.
The Giants have won four straight and eight of their last nine games, easily becoming one of the hottest teams in all of baseball. The reason is no secret, as the Giants pitching rotation has allowed two or less runs in seven of their last nine games. In fact, 14 of the Giants first 30 games this season, they’ve held their opponent to two or less runs. Offensively, Michael Morse leads the Giants with eight homeruns and 22 RBI. Getting the start on Sunday will be Madison Bumgarner, who is 2-3 with a 3.74 ERA and has 37 strikeouts in 33.2 innings. Bumgarner is 2-3 with a 2.92 ERA in six career starts against the Braves.
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Don’t look now, but the Braves have lost five straight games and are quickly losing ground for first place in the NL East. The Braves offense has really struggled, scoring one or less runs in five of their last seven games. The Braves pitching hasn’t been much better during this losing stretch, allowing five or more three of the five loss, but the Braves have allowed just five runs in this series. Justin Upton leads the Braves with eight homeruns and 18 RBI. Taking the mound on Sunday will be Alex Wood, who is 2-4 with a 2.93 ERA and has 37 strikeouts in 40 innings. Wood has pitched one inning against the Giants in his career, and he allowed one hit and two runs.
The Giants are 6-2 in Bumgarner's last 8 starts as an underdog and 1-5 in Bumgarner's last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. The Braves are 1-4 in Wood's last 5 starts and 4-1 in Wood's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Taking the Giants with the plus money makes too much sense. The Braves are completely lost at the moment and the Giants are pitching lights out all season long, especially over the last week. I'll always take a risk with the hotter team and the extra bang for my buck.