Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/5/14
Houston Astros (10-20) at Detroit Tigers (16-9)
MLB Baseball: Monday, May 5, 2014 at 7:08 pm (Comerica Park)
Jarred Cosart (R) (1-2) (5.516) vs. Max Scherzer (R) (3-1) (2.077)
The Line: Detroit Tigers -254 / Houston Astros +234 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSN-HOU, FSN-DET
The Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers will begin a four-game series on Monday night.
The Astros continue to struggle, losing seven of their last 10 games and falling to 10-21 on the season. The Astros have allowed four or more runs in nine of their last 10 games and entered Sunday ranked 29th in all of baseball in team ERA. Offensively it hasn’t been much better for the Astros, as three batters have already struck out at least 30 times this season. Jason Castro, however, does have 10 hits and seven RBI in his last 10 games. Starting for the Astros will be Jarred Cosart, who is 1-2 with a 5.52 ERA and has 25 strikeouts in 31 innings. This will be Cosart’s first time facing the Tigers in his career.
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The Tigers are coming off a sweep of the Kansas City Royals and have won seven of their last eight games overall. While the Tigers pitching has held up for much of the season, it’s their offense that has taken over during this stretch. The Tigers have scored five or more runs in seven of their last 10 games. Torii Hunter has 18 hits in his last 10 games, and Miguel Cabrera has 12 RBI in his last 10 games. Getting the nod for the Tigers will be Max Scherzer, who is 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA and has 51 strikeouts 39 innings. Scherzer is 2-1 with a 4.45 ERA in four career starts against the Astros.
The Astros are 1-4 in Cosart's last 5 starts and 1-4 in Cosart's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Tigers are 40-15 in Scherzer's last 55 starts and 39-18 in Scherzer's last 57 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Astros are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.
No value in taking the Tigers in this one, so I'm siding with the over. Cosart could give up eight runs by himself to a red hot Tigers lineup. The total seems a little too low.