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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/5/14

Toronto Blue Jays (13-17) at Philadelphia Phillies (14-14)

MLB Baseball: Monday, May 5, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

JA Happ (L) (0-0) (0.00) vs. Kyle Kendrick (R) (0-2) (3.521)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -121 / Toronto Blue Jays +111 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds


The Toronto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies will begin a four-game series on Monday.

The Blue Jays lost two of three to the Pittsburgh Pirates and have lost eight of their last 11 games overall. The pitching for the Blue Jays has been horrendous to say the least, as they entered Sunday with the 26th worst ERA in all of baseball. The Blue Jays have allowed five or more runs in seven of their last 11 games. While it’s tough to win games that way, Brett Lawrie has 14 hits in his last seven games and Jose Bautista has seven RBI in his last 10 games. Starting for the Blue Jays will be J.A. Happ, who has pitched just 4.1 innings, striking out four and allowing two runs. Happ is 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA in two career starts against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/5/14


The Phillies took two of three from the Washington Nationals and have won four of their last six games overall, currently sitting one game above .500. The Phillies pitching staff has allowed two or less runs in three of their last five games, while their batting lineup has also gotten the job done in this quick turnaround. Marlon Byrd has five multi-hit games in his last eight and Jimmy Rollins is heating up with five hits in his last two games. Kyle Kendrick gets the nod for Philadelphia, and he’s 0-2 with a 3.52 ERA and has 19 strikeouts in 30.2 innings. Kendrick is 0-1 with a 6.91 ERA in three career starts against the Blue Jays. 

The Blue Jays are 4-12 in Happ's last 16 starts and 2-6 in Happ's last 8 starts as an underdog. The Phillies are 7-1 in Kendrick's last 8 starts as a favorite and 10-4 in Kendrick's last 14 starts during game 1 of a series. The Blue Jays are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.

When the Blue Jays aren't giving up a truckload of runs, they're not a bad baseball team. I'll give Happ a chance to get the job done and take the Blue Jays and the plus money. I'm just not sure how long the Phillies can keep playing well on both sides of the ball. 

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