Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/9/14
Minnesota Twins (15-17) at Detroit Tigers (20-9)
MLB Baseball: Friday, May 9, 2014 at 7:08 pm (Comerica Park)
Philip Hughes (R) (3-1) (4.719) vs. Justin Verlander (R) (4-1) (2.681)
The Line: Detroit Tigers -225 / Minnesota Twins +210 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-N, FSN-DET
The Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers will begin a three-game series on Friday.
The Twins just lost three of four to the Cleveland Indians and have lost seven of their last 10 games overall. The Twins pitching has been god awful all season, entering Thursday with a team ERA of 4.56 and allowing four or more runs in 22 of their first 33 games. Offensively, Chris Colabello has cooled off recently, racking up just three RBI and striking out 15 times in his last 10 games. The Twins hope Phil Hughes can get them out of their slump, as he’s 3-1 with a 4.72 ERA and has 29 strikeouts in 34.1 innings. Hughes is 6-6 with a 4.34 ERA in 13 career games against the Tigers.
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The Tigers have won eight of their last nine games and are 10 games above .500. During this stretch the Tigers are crushing the baseball, scoring four or more runs in 10 of their last 14 games. Miguel Cabrera has 11 RBI in his last 10 games and Victor Martinez has homered three times in his last four games. The Tigers are 16-2 this season when scoring more than three runs. Justin Verlander is in good hands with that type of run support, as he’s 4-1 with a 2.68 ERA and has 38 strikeouts in 47 innings. Verlander is 14-7 with a 3.12 ERA in 27 career starts against the Twins.
The Twins are 3-13 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series and 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Tigers are 64-26 in Verlander's last 90 home starts and 3-8 in Verlander's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Tigers are 10-2 in Verlander's last 12 starts vs. Twins.
There's no way you pick the Twins in this spot with the way they've been giving up runs. It also doesn't help that Verlander is on the mound, a pitcher who has dominated the Twins in his career. We're taking the run line in this matchup to maximize value.