Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/10/14
San Francisco Giants (21-13) at Los Angeles Dodgers (19-16)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, May 10, 2014 at 4:10 pm (Dodger Stadium)
Matt Cain (R) (0-3) (4.355) vs. Zack Greinke (R) (5-1) (2.348)
The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -154 / San Francisco Giants +144 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
TV: FS1, CSN-BA, SportsNet LA
The San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers will meet Saturday for what feels like the 100th time this season.
The Giants continue to roll with wins in eight of their last 10 games as they improve to 10 games above a .500 record. It’s absolutely incredible how dominant the Giants pitching staff has been, as they’ve allowed three runs or less in 11 of their last 14 games, which includes eight games of one or less runs during that stretch. Offensively, Michael Morse leads the Giants with 24 RBI and has two homers in his last eight games. Starting Saturday is Matt Cain, who is 0-3 with a 4.35 ERA and has 25 strikeouts in 31 innings. Cain is 5-11 with a 3.58 ERA in 29 career starts against the Dodgers.
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The Dodgers have lost five of their last six games and are in danger of falling to .500 with a loss on Saturday. The Dodgers offense simply isn’t getting the job done, as they’ve been held to two or less runs in four of their last five games. Matt Kemp has just one RBI in his last 10 games and Dee Gordon has 11 strikeouts in his last 10 games. The good news for the Dodgers is that Zack Greinke is taking the mound, a pitcher who is 5-1 with a 2.35 ERA and has struck out 47 in 38.1 innings. Greinke is 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA in three career starts against the Giants.
The Giants are 5-16 in Cain's last 21 starts and 1-6 in Cain's last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 15-3 in Greinke's last 18 home starts and 22-7 in Greinke's last 29 starts. The Giants are 0-4 in Cain's last 4 road starts vs. Dodgers.
Are you going to argue with those numbers? Sure, the juice is a little steep and the Dodgers haven't been scoring runs. However, the Dodgers have Greinke on the mound, and he doesn't lose very often. It's worth paying the price to make a few bucks on a Saturday afternoon.