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Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/15/14

Baltimore Orioles (20-17) at Kansas City Royals (19-19)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, May 15, 2014 at 8:10 pm (Kauffman Stadium)

Miguel Gonzalez (R) (1-3) (4.778) vs. Yordano Ventura (R) (2-2) (2.339)

The Line: Kansas City Royals -135 / Baltimore Orioles +125 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The Baltimore Orioles and Kansas City Royals will begin a four-game series on Thursday.

After being swept by the Detroit Tigers, the Orioles have lost four straight games and are giving up ground in the AL East race. During this stretch, the Orioles have allowed four or more runs in five straight games and are 8-17 this season when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Adam Jones has eight RBI in his last nine games and Nelson Cruz has three homers in his last 10 games. Wei-Yin Chen will get the nod, and he’s 4-2 with a 3.95 ERA and has 32 strikeouts in 41 innings. Chen is 0-1 with a 4.60 ERA in five career starts against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/15/14


The Royals have won six of their last eight games and have improved to one game above a .500 record. As has been the case for much of the season the Royals pitching has carried the way, allowing three or less runs in seven of their last eight games. The Royals have allowed just 311 hits in 340.2 innings. Offensively, Alcides Escobar has seven RBI in his last four games. Yordano Ventura will get the start, and he’s 2-2 with a 2.34 ERA and has 44 strikeouts in 42.1 innings. This will be Ventura’s second career start against the Orioles. 

The Orioles are 5-1 in Chen's last 6 starts and 4-1 in Chen's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Royals are 13-6 in their last 19 games vs. a left-handed starter and 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League East. The Orioles are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings against the Royals.

I like the under in this matchup. Both pitchers have done a solid job of getting outs for their teams this season, and the under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. Expect that trend to continue. 

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