Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/18/14
Milwaukee Brewers (27-15) at Chicago Cubs (13-27)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)
Marco Estrada (R) (3-1) (3.283) vs. Travis Wood (L) (3-4) (4.909)
The Line: Chicago Cubs +110 / Milwaukee Brewers -120 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-WI, WGN
The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs will meet in a rubber game on Sunday afternoon.
The Brewers have won five of their last seven games and look to win their third straight series with a win Sunday. Despite not scoring any runs in a 3-0 loss to the Cubs on Saturday, the Brewers pitching staff has allowed just three or less runs in four of their last five games. The Brewers ERA of 3.16 is fourth best in the majors. Offensively, Carlos Gomez is dealing with back tightness and Ryan Bruan has a hit in six of his last seven games. Marco Estrada gets the nod Sunday, and he’s 3-1 with a 3.28 ERA and has 46 strikeouts in 49.1 innings. Estrada is 5-0 with a 3.71 ERA in seven career starts against the Cubs.
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The Cubs have lost six of their last eight games and are still having a hard time putting runs on the board. In 11 of the Cubs last 14 games, they’ve been held to three or less runs. Starlin Castro has six RBI in his five games and Welington Castillo has two RBI in Saturday’s victory. The Cubs pitching rotation does what it can, ranked 14th in the majors with an ERA of 3.72. Travis Wood takes the mound, and he’s 3-4 with a 4.91 ERA and has 44 strikeouts in 47.2 innings. Wood is 3-3 with a 3.83 ERA in eight career starts against the Brewers.
The Brewers are 7-3 in Estrada's last 10 road starts and 1-5 in Estrada's last 6 starts with 4 days of rest. The Cubs are 18-38 in Wood's last 56 starts and 4-11 in Wood's last 15 home starts. The Brewers are 6-0 in Estrada's last 6 starts vs. Cubs.
For the cheap price, the Brewers seem like the play in this matchup. The Brewers pitching staff has been lights out all year and isn't going to get shutout very often. Not to mention Estrada has been money in his career against the Cubs. This line looks like a steal.