Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/21/14
Milwaukee Brewers (27-18) at Atlanta Braves (24-19)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, May 21, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Turner Field)
Kyle Lohse (R) (5-1) (2.882) vs. Ervin Santana (R) (4-1) (2.759)
The Line: Atlanta Braves -148 / Milwaukee Brewers +138 --- Over/Under: 6.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-WI, SPSO
The Milwaukee Brewers and Atlanta Braves will play game three of four when they take the field on Wednesday night.
The Brewers have lost four straight games and five of their last seven, making this their worst stretch of the season. As has been the case for much of the season, the Brewers pitching has still been good enough to win, but their offense has produced just five runs during their last four losses. That includes getting shutout and striking out eight times in Tuesday’s 5-0 loss. Ryan Bruan has just one RBI in his last eight games, but Jonathan Lucroy does have five hits in the first two games of this series. Taking the mound Wednesday is Kyle Lohse, who is 5-1 with a 2.88 ERA and has 46 strikeouts in 59.1 innings. Lohse is 4-2 with a 4.22 ERA in 12 career starts against the Braves.
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The Braves have won three straight games and are back into first place in the NL East. The Braves offense has produced at least five runs in each of these three wins and is 17-3 this season when scoring three or more runs. Freddie Freeman has eight RBI in as many games and Andrelton Simmons has five hits and two RBI in this series. The Braves have the best ERA in the majors and Ervin Santana is a big part of that, as he’s 4-1 with a 2.76 ERA and has 46 strikeouts in 45.2 innings. This is Santana’s second career start against the Brewers.
The Brewers are 7-1 in Lohse's last 8 starts as an underdog and 20-8 in Lohse's last 28 starts. The Braves are 5-1 in Santana's last 6 starts as a favorite and 5-2 in Santana's last 7 starts.
Although the Brewers are in a bit of a slump, both of these teams are pretty even and Lohse has been money when he's on the mound. I'll take my chances with the Brewers and the plus money.