Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 6/6/14
Philadelphia Phillies (24-34) at Cincinnati Reds (27-31)
MLB Baseball: Friday, June 6, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
Cole Hamels (L) (1-3) (4.006) vs. Johnny Cueto (R) (5-4) (1.682)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -162 / Philadelphia Phillies +152 --- Over/Under: 6.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FS-Ohio, CSN-Philadelphia
The Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies face off on Friday in Cincinnati in game one of their series.
The Cincinnati Reds have been battling injuries since before the season started and while they are getting healthier they aren’t there yet. The Reds are 13-14 at home this season, 5-5 in their last 10 games, and they have lost their last two. As a team the Reds are hitting .241 with Todd Frazier hitting .275, Brandon Phillips hitting .270, and Billy Hamilton is hitting .261. As a team the Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 3.53 with the starters at 3.32 and the bullpen at 4.08. For game one against the Phillies the Reds start Johnny Cueto who won last time out to end a personal two game losing streak. For the season Cueto has allowed 48 hits and 17 earned runs while striking out 92 over 91 innings for a 5-4 record and a 1.68 ERA.
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The Philadelphia Phillies look like a shell of the team that dominated the NL East for many years as they are in last place in the division. The Phillies are 12-15 on the road, 2-8 in their last 10 games, and they have lost six games in a row. As a team the Phillies are hitting .241 with Chase Utley hitting .311, Ben Revere hitting .282, and Carlos Ruiz hitting .279. The Phillies pitching staff has an ERA of 4.23 with the starters at 4.24 and the bullpen at 4.20. Fir game one at Great American Ballpark the Phillies start Cole Hamels who has two no decisions in his last three starts. For the season Hamels has allowed 49 hits and 23 earned runs while striking out 52 over 51.2 innings for a 1-3 record and a 4.01 ERA.
Cincinnati is 7-3 as a favorite, 2-7 against a left-handed starter, and 22-7 in Cueto’s last 29 home starts. Philadelphia is 2-5 against the NL Central, 3-9 in game one of a series, and 1-9 in Hamels’ last 10 starts. Philadelphia is 12-0 in Hamels last 12 starts against Cincinnati.
The total here is set at 6.5 and that just seems too low even with these two pitchers so my free pick is the over. My stronger play is on the winning side and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as on the App.
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