Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/15/14
Minnesota Twins (32-33) at Detroit Tigers (34-29)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, June 15, 2014 at 1:08 pm (Comerica Park)
Ricky Nolasco (R) (4-5) (5.695) vs. Rick Porcello (R) (8-4) (4.163)
The Line: Detroit Tigers -168 / Minnesota Twins +158 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-N, FSN-DET
The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins will play a rubber game on Sunday afternoon.
The Twins have won four of their last seven games, but their pitching staff has been brutal for much of the year. The Twins have allowed double-digit runs in two of their last six games and have a season ERA of 4.32. The Twins offense has scored four or more runs in 11 of their 13 games in the month of June. Brian Dozier has homered three times in his last four games and Josh Willingham has scored seven runs in his last 10 games. Ricky Nolasco gets the nod, and he’s 4-5 with a 5.70 ERA and has 56 strikeouts in 79 innings. This will be Nolasco’s first career game against the Tigers.
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The Tigers are trying to break out of their funk with two wins in their last two games, but they’ve still lost eight of 12 games in the month of June. The Tigers have allowed four or more runs in nine of their last 12 games and have watched their season ERA drop to 3.99. The Tigers are 14-21 this season when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Miguel Cabrera has an eight-game hitting streak and Victor Martinez has homered four times in his last eight games. Rick Porcello takes the hill, and he’s 8-4 with a 4.04 ERA and has 49 strikeouts in 75.2 innings. Porcello is 8-6 with a 3.83 ERA in 20 career starts against the Twins.
The Twins are 4-1 in Nolasco's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest and 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Tigers are 14-4 in Porcello's last 18 starts as a favorite and 19-7 in Porcello's last 26 starts overall. The Tigers are 10-4 in Porcello's last 14 starts vs. Twins.
The Tigers should have little trouble winning this game with Porcello on the mound. That's why I'm taking the RL, as the ML doesn't offer any value.