Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/18/14
Chicago Cubs (29-39) at Miami Marlins (35-34)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, June 18, 2014 at 12:40 pm (Marlins Park)
Jake Arrieta (R) (2-1) (2.093) vs. Nathan Eovaldi (R) (4-2) (3.710)
The Line: Miami Marlins -131 / Chicago Cubs +121 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSN-CHI, MLB Network
The Chicago Cubs and Miami Marlins will play a rubber game on Wednesday afternoon.
The Cubs have lost six of their last 10 games and are now 11 games below a .500 record. While the offense has given the Cubs issues all year, it’s actually been their pitching rotation that has allowed four or more runs in 10 of 16 games in the month of June. The Cubs pitching has been solid for much of the season with a 3.58 ERA, which is ninth in the majors. Offensively, Starlin Castro has nine RBI in his last nine games and Anthony Rizzo has gotten on base at least once in five straight. Jake Arrieta takes the mound, and he’s 2-1 with a 2.09 ERA and has 44 strikeouts in 43 innings. This is Arrieta’s second career start against the Marlins.
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Despite losing four of their last six games, the Marlins are just a half a game out of first place in the NL East. The Marlins have consistently been one of the better offensive teams in the league, as they’ve scored four or more runs in six of their last eight games. Giancarlo Stanton has scored six runs in his last nine games and Casey McGehee has gotten on base in 12 straight. The Marlins pitching staff has an ERA of 3.86. Starting is Nathan Eovaldi, who is 4-2 with a 3.71 ERA and has 72 strikeouts in 87.1 innings. This is Eovaldi’s second career start against the Cubs.
The Cubs are 7-2 in Arrieta's last 9 starts as an underdog and 8-3 in Arrieta's last 11 starts overall. The Marlins are 7-3 in Eovaldi's last 10 home starts and 2-5 in Eovaldi's last 7 starts overall.
Eovaldi has been great at home his whole career and the Marlins are still one of the best home teams in all of baseball. I like the fish in this spot against a below par Cubs squad.