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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/19/14

Houston Astros (32-40) at Tampa Bay Rays (28-44)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, June 19, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Tropicana Field)

Collin McHugh (R) (4-4) (3.034) vs. Chris Archer (R) (3-4) (3.403)

The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -144 / Houston Astros +134 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSN-HOU, Sun Sports

The Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays will take the field Thursday to begin a four-game series.

Just when it looked like the Astros were starting to turn the corner, they’ve lost four of their last five games. It’s the same song and dance with this team, as the Astros have allowed four or more runs in 11 of their last 14 games. The Astros season ERA is a horrible 4.14. Offensively, Matt Dominquez has seven RBI in his last four games and Jose Altuve has 16 hits in his last 10 games. Collin McHugh gets the nod, and he’s 4-4 with 3.03 ERA and has 66 strikeouts in 59.1 innings. This is McHugh’s second career start against the Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/19/14


The Rays have lost seven of their last 11 games and are a horrible 17 games below a .500 record. While the Rays pitching staff has an EA of 4.04, it’s their offense that has scored three or less runs in 11 of their last 20 games. The Rays are 8-31 this season when scoring three or less runs. James Loney has hit safely in seven of his last 10 games and Evan Longoria has a seven-game hitting streak. Chris Archer takes the mound, and he’s 3-4 with a 3.40 ERA and has 71 strikeouts in 79.1 innings. Archer is 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA in three career starts against the Astros.

The Astros are 18-45 in their last 63 vs. American League East and 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. The Rays are 8-2 in Archer's last 10 starts as a home favorite and 8-3 in Archer's last 11 home starts. The Astros are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings.

It seems like the Astros are back to their losing ways and Archer is a pitcher who is pretty solid at home. I like the Rays in this spot.

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