Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/19/14
Atlanta Braves (36-34) at Washington Nationals (36-33)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, June 19, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)
Gavin Floyd (R) (1-2) (2.980) vs. Jordan Zimmermann (R) (5-3) (2.976)
The Line: Washington Nationals -140 / Atlanta Braves +130 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: SPSO, MASN, MLB Network
The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies will take the field Thursday to begin a four-game series.
The Braves have really hit a rough patch, losing six of their last eight games and are one more loss from becoming a .500 ball club. The Braves pitching staff has allowed five or more runs in seven of their last nine games, which is surprising for a team that has a season ERA of 3.33. Offensively it’s been much of the same for the Braves, but Evan Gattis has homered four times in his last eight games. Getting the nod is Gavin Floyd, who is 1-2 with a 2.98 ERA and has 39 strikeouts in 48.1 innings. Floyd is 1-2 with a 4.45 ERA in six career games against the Nationals.
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The Nationals have won six of their last 10 games and are now first place in the NL East. Despite the Nationals having the second best ERA in baseball at 3.06, they’ve allowed four or more runs in five of their last six games. It’s a concerning stretch considering the Nationals are 8-24 when allowing more than three runs this season. Offensively, Anthony Rendon has four RBI in his last two games and Ryan Zimmerman has gotten on base at least once in seven of his last 10 games. Starting is Jordan Zimmerman, who is 5-3 with a 2.98 ERA and has 71 strikeouts in 84.2 innings. Zimmerman is 3-1 with a 2.98 ERA in eight career starts against the Braves.
The Braves are 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog and 11-5 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. The Nationals are 39-13 in Zimmermann's last 52 starts as a favorite and 20-8 in Zimmermann's last 28 starts vs. National League East. The Braves are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Washington.
While the Braves have had the Nationals number the past couple of seasons, Zimmermann has been money when he's on the mound. The price is fair, there's no reason not to take the home team in this spot.