Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/24/14
Cincinnati Reds (37-37) at Chicago Cubs (31-42)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, June 24, 2014 at 8:05 pm (Wrigley Field)
Homer Bailey (R) (7-3) (4.683) vs. Jake Arrieta (R) (3-1) (1.980)
The Line: Chicago Cubs -105 / Cincinnati Reds -105 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-OH, CSN-CHI
The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs meet for game two at Wrigley Field on Tuesday night.
The Reds have won six of their last eight games and are one game above a .500 record with Monday’s victory. While it’s struggled for much of the season, the Reds offense has produced four or more runs in 10 of their last 12 games. The Reds are a solid 31-9 this season when scoring more than three runs. Todd Frazier has homered three times in his last eight games and Devin Mesoraco has 10 RBI in his last four games. Homer Bailey gets the nod, and he’s 7-3 with a 4.68 ERA and has 81 strikeouts in 90.1 innings. Bailey is 8-2 with a 4.16 ERA in 14 career starts against the Cubs.
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The Cubs have lost three in a row but still have a winning record in the month of June at 11-10. It’s the same song and dance with the Cubs, a team that can’t score and has produced three or less runs in seven of their last 12 games. The Cubs have lost 10 of their last 13 games when scoring less than four runs. Starlin Castro has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games and Anthony Rizzo has homered twice in his last three games. Jake Arrieta takes the hill, and he’s 3-1 with a 1.98 ERA and has 55 strikeouts in 50 innings. This is Arrieta’s first career game against the Reds.
The Reds are 5-1 in Bailey's last 6 starts and 47-19 in Bailey's last 66 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Cubs are 4-1 in Arrieta's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest and 9-3 in Arrieta's last 12 starts overall. The Reds are 11-1 in Bailey's last 12 starts vs. Cubs.
You see Bailey's career numbers against the Cubs? Hard to argue with that. Besides, the Reds are also the better team, which makes this bet one of the better options on Tuesday's card.