Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/28/14
Colorado Rockies (35-44) at Milwaukee Brewers (49-32)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, June 28, 2014 at 4:10 pm (Miller Park)
Jhoulys Chacin (R) (1-6) (4.838) vs. Matt Garza (R) (4-5) (4.010)
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -178 / Colorado Rockies +168 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ROOT-RM, FSN-WI
The Colorado Rockies and Milwaukee Brewers play game three Saturday at Miller Park.
The Rockies have fallen off a cliff with 10 losses in their last 11 games, falling 10 games below .500. The main issue during this stretch has been their pitching, as the Rockies have allowed four or more runs in 13 of their last 14 games. Overall, the Rockies have the worst ERA in baseball at 4.93 and have lost 11 of their last 15 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Justin Morneau has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Corey Dickerson has 17 hits in his last 10 games. Jhoulys Chacin gets the start, and he’s 1-6 with a 4.84 ERA and has 38 strikeouts in 57.2 innings. Chacin is 0-0 with a 4.00 ERA in four career starts against the Brewers.
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The Brewers have been on the other side of the fence, winning seven of their last nine games and improving to 18 games above .500. The Brewers offense has scored 19 runs in their last three games and have won 12 of their last 15 games when scoring more than three runs. Ryan Braun has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Khris Davis has 11 RBI in his last 10 games. The Brewers have the 11th best ERA at 3.59. Matt Garza takes the hill, and he’s 4-5 with a 4.01 ERA and has 77 strikeouts in 101 innings. Garza is 1-3 with a 4.81 ERA in four career starts against the Rockies.
The Rockies are 3-8 in Chacins last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-12 in Chacins last 17 starts vs. National League Central. The Brewers are 5-2 in Garzas last 7 starts as a home favorite and 5-2 in Garzas last 7 home starts.
You just can't pick the Rockies against one of the better teams in baseball with the way both teams have been playing. With that being said, give me the Brewers runline for extra value.