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Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/4/14

Arizona Diamondbacks (35-51) at Atlanta Braves (47-38)

MLB Baseball: Friday, July 4, 2014 at 7:35 pm (Turner Field)

Josh Collmenter (R) (6-4) (3.935) vs. Ervin Santana (R) (6-5) (4.045)

The Line: Atlanta Braves -148 / Arizona Diamondbacks +138 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The Atlanta Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks begin a three-game series on Friday night.

The Diamondbacks have split their last eight games and are 15 games below a .500 record. Despite scoring 10 runs in Thursday’s victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates, the Diamondbacks have scored three or less runs in six of their last seven games. Paul Goldschmidt has seven hits in his last three games and Miguel Montero has nine RBI in his last 10 games. The Diamondbacks pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA, 28th in the league. Josh Collmenter takes the hill, and he’s 7-4 with a 3.74 ERA and has 56 strikeouts in 91.1 innings. Collmenter is 1-2 with a 1.73 ERA in six career games against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/4/14


The Braves have won seven games in a row and are back on top of the NL East. The braves pitching continues to dominate, holding teams to three or less runs in nine of their last 12 games. Overall, the Braves have the fourth best ERA at 3.24 and have won 12 of their last 13 games when they’ve allowed fewer than four runs. Offensively, Freddie Freeman has 10 hits in his last nine games and B.J. Upton has a nine-game hitting streak. Ervin Santana gets the nod, and he’s 6-5 with a 4.05 ERA and has 86 strikeouts in 95.2 innings. Santana is 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA in three career starts against the Diamondbacks. 

The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Collmenters last 5 road starts and 9-3 in Collmenters last 12 starts. The Braves are 2-5 in Santanas last 7 starts as a favorite and 1-4 in Santanas last 5 starts overall. The Diamondbacks are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta.

Collmenter is an Arizona pitcher who has actually been able to hold his own this season. Santana clearly isn't pitching his best lately. I like the Diamondbacks in this spot for the potential upset. 

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