Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/4/14
Seattle Mariners (47-38) at Chicago White Sox (40-46)
MLB Baseball: Friday, July 4, 2014 at 7:10 pm (U.S. Cellular Field)
Roenis Elias (L) (7-6) (3.955) vs. Chris Sale (L) (7-1) (2.298)
The Line: Chicago White Sox -178 / Seattle Mariners +168 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ROOT-NW, CSN-CHI
The Seattle Mariners and Chicago White Sox begin a three-game series on the fourth of July.
The Mariners have won 10 of their last 12 games and are nine games above a .500 record. The Mariners pitching has led the way during this stretch, allowing three or less runs in eight of their last 11 games. Overall, the Mariners pitching staff has an ERA of 3.20, second best in the majors. The Mariners have won eight straight when allowing less than four runs. Offensively, Kyle Seager has 12 RBI in his last nine games. Roenis Elias takes the hill, and he’s 7-6 with a 3.96 ERA and has 87 strikeouts in 104.2 innings. This is Elias’ first career game against the White Sox.
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The White Sox have lost nine of their last 14 games and are six games below .500. Of course, it all starts with a pitching staff that has allowed four or more runs in 11 of their last 15 games. The White Sox have an overall ERA of 4.34 and have lost nine of their last 10 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Jose Abreu has a 17-game hitting streak and Dayan Viciedo has homered three times in his last six games. Chris Sale gets the nod, and he’s 7-1 with a 2.30 ERA and has 84 strikeouts in 78.1 innings. Sale is 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA in five career games against the Mariners.
The Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series and 4-1 in Elias' last 5 road starts. The White Sox are 4-1 in Sales last 5 home starts and 12-5 in Sales last 17 starts during game 1 of a series. The Mariners are 15-41 in the last 56 meetings in Chicago.
There's no value at all in taking the White Sox to win SU, so I'm taking a chance with the runline to give us some actual return for our buck. Sale has been money all season and the Mariners can't stay this hot forever. The White Sox win by two or more.