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Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/4/14

Tampa Bay Rays (38-49) at Detroit Tigers (47-34)

MLB Baseball: Friday, July 4, 2014 at 7:08 pm (Comerica Park)

Alex Cobb (R) (3-6) (4.197) vs. Drew Smyly (L) (3-7) (3.932)

The Line: Detroit Tigers -123 / Tampa Bay Rays +113 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN, Sun Sports, FSN-DET

The Tampa Bay Rays and Detroit Tigers play game two of their four-game series Friday night on ESPN.

The Rays had their five-game winning streak snapped on Thursday, but have still won seven of their last nine games. The reason behind the change is a Rays offense that has produced four or more runs in seven of their last 10 games. James Loney has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Matt Joyce has eight RBI in his last 10 games. The Rays ERA is 3.83, 15th best in the league. Alex Cobb takes the hill, and he’s 3-6 with a 4.20 ERA and has 56 strikeouts in 64.1 innings. Cobb is 0-1 with a 2.41 ERA in three career starts against the Tigers.

Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/4/14


The Tigers have won 12 of their last 14 games and are now 14 games above .500. The Tigers are also hitting the ball well, scoring four or more runs in 11 of their last 13 games and winning 10 of their last 11 when that’s the case. Miguel Cabrera has 11 hits in his last nine games and Victor Martinez has homered four times in his last 10 games. The Tigers have a 3.98 ERA, 22nd in the league. Starting is Drew Smyly, who is 4-7 with a 3.57 ERA and has 65 strikeouts in 75.2 innings. Smyly is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA in five career games against the Rays.

The Rays are 5-2 in Cobbs last 7 road starts and 7-3 in Cobbs last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Tigers are 2-6 in Smylys last 8 starts and 1-6 in Smylys last 7 home starts. The Rays are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Detroit.

You have to like the Tigers at home with the way they've been playing. Smyly hasn't had much luck this season, but neither has Cobb, so the pitching match is a wash. I'll take argubaly the best team in baseball for the cheap price. 

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