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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/7/14

Philadelphia Phillies (37-50) at Milwaukee Brewers (52-36)

MLB Baseball: Monday, July 7, 2014 at 8:10 pm (Miller Park)

Cole Hamels (L) (2-5) (2.979) vs. Marco Estrada (R) (7-5) (4.941)

The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -114 / Philadelphia Phillies +104 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds


The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers will begin a four-game series on Monday at Citizens Bank Park.

The Phillies were just swept by the Pittsburgh Pirates and have lost nine of their last 10 games. You can blame the pitching all you want, but the Phillies have scored three or less runs in eight of their last 10 games. The Phillies have lost 14 straight games when scoring three or less runs. Chase Utley has hit safely in seven of his last 10 games and Marlon Byrd has homered five times in his last seven games. The Phillies have an ERA of 3.90. Cole Hamels takes the hill, and he’s 2-5 with a 2.98 ERA and has 94 strikeouts in 93.2 innings. Hamels is 6-3 with a 3.93 ERA in 11 career starts against the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/7/14


The Brewers have been a little shaky lately, losing five of their last six games, but are still 15 games above .500. The Brewers pitching has been a little inconsistent, allowing four or more runs in six of their last seven games. Overall, the Brewers have an ERA of 3.62, 11th in all of baseball. The Brewers have lost six of their last eight when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Ryan Braun has 10 RBI in his last nine games. Starting is Marco Estrada, who is 7-5 with a 4.94 ERA and has 87 strikeouts in 102 innings. Estrada is 1-0 with a 6.33 ERA in nine career games against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 5-11 in Hamels' last 16 starts and 2-6 in Hamels' last 8 road starts. The Brewers are 12-5 in Estradas last 17 starts with 5 days of rest and 14-5 in Estradas last 19 starts during game 1 of a series. The Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels' last 5 starts vs. Brewers.

I like the value the Phillies are getting in this spot. The Brewers are in a bit of a slump and Hamels has had success against the Brewers in his career. 

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