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Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/7/14

Minnesota Twins (39-47) at Seattle Mariners (48-39)

MLB Baseball: Monday, July 7, 2014 at 10:10 pm (Safeco Field)

Kevin Correia (R) (4-10) (4.952) vs. Hisashi Iwakuma (R) (6-4) (3.333)

The Line: Seattle Mariners -179 / Minnesota Twins +169 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds


The Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins begin a four-game series on Monday.

The Twins have lost 10 of their last 13 games and are nine games below a .500 record. Pitching continues to be the Twins problem, as they’ve allowed four or more runs in 11 of their last 14 games. The Twins have an ERA of 4.33 and have lost 10 straight games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Brian Dozier has hit safely in four straight games and Chris Colabello has homered twice in his last three games. Kevin Correia gets the nod, and he’s 4-10 with a 4.95 ERA and has 48 strikeouts in 96.1 innings. Correia is 0-2 with a 6.65 ERA in five career games against the Mariners.

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Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/7/14


The Mariners have won six of their last nine games and are eight games above a .500 record. It’s the Mariners pitching that has really taken over this team, allowing three or less runs in 10 of their last 14 games. The Mariners have the third best ERA in baseball at 3.22 and have won 13 of their last 14 games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Robinson Cano has hit safely in six of his last seven games and Mike Zunino has nine RBI in his last nine games. Starting is Hisashi Iwakuma, who is 6-4 with a 3.33 ERA and has 62 strikeouts in 81 innings. Iwakuma is 4-0 with a 0.00 ERA in four career starts against the Twins.

The Twins are 8-26 in Correias last 34 starts and 2-7 in Correias last 9 road starts. The Mariners are 5-1 in Iwakumas last 6 starts vs. American League Central and 1-5 in Iwakumas last 6 home starts. The Mariners are 4-0 in Iwakumas last 4 starts vs. Twins, while the Twins are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Seattle.

There's little value in taking the Seattle ML, which is why I'm taking the Mariners to win by two runs. This is a clear mismatch and Iwakuma should pitch well. 

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