Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/8/14
Philadelphia Phillies (37-51) at Milwaukee Brewers (52-37)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, July 8, 2014 at 8:10 pm (Miller Park)
Kyle Kendrick (R) (3-8) (4.116) vs. Wily Peralta (R) (9-5) (3.354)
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -188 / Philadelphia Phillies +178 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSN-PHI, FSN-WI
The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers will play game two on Tuesday.
The Phillies have lost nine of their last 11 games and are 13 games below a .500 record. The Phillies offense has been absolutely brutal, scoring three or less runs in nine of their last 11 games. The Phillies have lost 12 of their last 13 games when scoring less than three runs. Chase Utley has hit safely in seven of his last 10 games and Cody Asche has homered twice in his last seven games. The Phillies ERA is 3.90. Kyle Kendrick gets the nod, and he’s 3-8 with a 4.12 ERA and has 69 strikeouts in 109.1 innings. Kendrick is 1-5 with a 4.06 ERA in nine career games against the Brewers.
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The Brewers have lost six of their last seven games and are 14 games above a .500 record. The brewers pitching staff has allowed four or more runs in six of their last eight games and have an overall ERA of 3.63. The Brewers have lost five straight when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Ryan Braun has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Jonathan Lucroy has five RBI in his last 10 games. Starting is Wily Peralta, who is 9-5 with a 3.35 ERA and has 80 strikeouts in 107.1 innings.
The Phillies are 6-14 in Kendricks last 20 starts as an underdog and 4-10 in Kendricks last 14 road starts. The Brewers are 5-1 in Peraltas last 6 starts and 1-4 in Peraltas last 5 starts as a home favorite. The Phillies are 1-5 in Kendricks last 6 starts vs. Brewers.
Maybe I'm crazy, but there's value to the Phillies with this line. Neither team is playing all that well and the Phillies bats have to wake up sooner or later. I like the value of this pick.