Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/11/14
Boston Red Sox (40-51) at Houston Astros (39-54)
MLB Baseball: Friday, July 11, 2014 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)
John Lackey (R) (9-6) (3.835) vs. Scott Feldman (R) (4-5) (3.857)
The Line: Houston Astros +112 / Boston Red Sox -122 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: NESN, CSN-HOU
The Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros begin a three-game series on Friday.
The Red Sox have lost six of their last nine games, but have won their last two and move within 10 games of a .500 record. The Red Sox offense has shown signs of life lately, producing four or more runs in four of their last six games. Jackie Bradley Jr. has hit safely in seven of his last 10 games and Dustin Pedroia has 13 hits in his last 10 games. Pitching wise, the Red Sox have the 20th worst ERA in baseball at 3.90. John Lackey takes the mound, and he’s 9-6 with a 3.84 ERA and has 106 strikeouts in 117.1 innings. Lackey is 1-1 with a 4.86 ERA in three career starts against the Astros.
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The Astros are coming off a sweep of the Texas Rangers and are still 15 games below .500. The Astros offense exploded in that series for 28 runs and have scored four or more runs in five of their last six games. The Astros have won 13 of their last 18 games when that’s the case. George Springer has homered four times in his last 10 games and Chris Carter has seven RBI in his last five games. The Astros have an ERA of 4.38, 28th in baseball. Starting is Scott Feldman, who is 4-5 with a 3.86 ERA and has 52 strikeouts in 84 innings. Feldman is 1-2 with a 5.86 ERA in 11 career games against the Red Sox.
The Red Sox are 9-4 in Lackeys last 13 starts as a favorite and 1-4 in Lackeys last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. The Astros are 2-5 in Feldmans last 7 starts and 0-5 in Feldmans last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. The Red Sox are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
I just can't trust the Astros, as they let you down when you least expect it. While there is value in the plus money, I'm taking the Red Sox for the cheap price.