Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/12/14
Pittsburgh Pirates (48-44) at Cincinnati Reds (49-43)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 12, 2014 at 7:15 pm (Great American Ball Park)
Charlie Morton (R) (5-9) (3.097) vs. Mike Leake (R) (7-7) (3.496)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -115 / Pittsburgh Pirates +105 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates square off Saturday on national television.
The Pirates have cooled off a little bit with four losses in their last five games, but they’re still three games above .500. The Pirates pitching staff is back on track by allowing three or less runs in eight of their last 12 games. The Pirates have an ERA of 3.72 and have won 13 of their last 14 games when allowing three or fewer runs. Offensively, Andrew McCutchen has 11 RBI in his last 10 games and Pedro Alvarez has homered twice in his last four games. Starting is Charlie Morton, who is 5-9 with a 3.10 ERA and has 94 strikeouts in 113.1 innings. Morton is 5-7 with a 4.12 ERA in 15 career starts against the Reds.
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The Reds have won seven of their last nine games and have skyrocketed to seven games above .500. The difference for the Reds has been offense, as they’ve scored four or more runs in seven straight games. While offense has been a problem for the Reds all season, Billy Hamilton has 10 RBI in his last nine games. Pitching wise, the Reds have an ERA of 3.44. Mike Leake takes the hill, and he’s 7-7 with a 3.42 ERA and has 95 strikeouts in 121 innings. Leake is 6-3 with a 3.40 ERA in 17 career starts against the Pirates.
The Pirates are 23-50 in Mortons last 73 starts as an underdog and 2-7 in Mortons last 9 road starts. The Reds are 4-1 in Leakes last 5 starts and 2-5 in Leakes last 7 home starts. The Reds are 5-0 in Leakes last 5 home starts vs. Pirates, while the Pirates are 4-0 in Mortons last 4 road starts vs. Reds.
Both pitchers have had great success against these teams in the past. So, the only edge I see here is that the Reds are at home.