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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/12/14

Miami Marlins (44-47) at New York Mets (42-50)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 12, 2014 at 4:10 pm (Citi Field)

Tom Koehler (R) (6-7) (3.978) vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka (R) (2-3) (3.984)

The Line: New York Mets -115 / Miami Marlins +105 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The Miami Marlins and New York Mets play game two of three on Saturday.

The Marlins have lost five of their last eight games and are four games below a .500 record. The inconsistent offense has killed the Marlins, as they’ve produced three or less runs in five of their last seven games. The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games when scoring three or less runs. Casey McGehee has 16 hits in his last 10 games and Marcell Ozuna has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games. The fish have an ERA of 3.87. Starting is Tom Koehler, who is 6-7 with a 3.98 ERA and has 84 strikeouts in 106.1 innings. Koehler is 1-3 with a 2.49 ERA in 10 career games against the Mets.

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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/12/14


The Mets have won six of their last eight games and have pulled within seven games of a .500 record. Improved offense has been the big improvement for the Mets, as they’ve scored four or more runs in six of their last eight games. The Mets have won 12 of their last 14 games when scoring more than three runs. Lucas Duda has hit safely in seven of his last 10 games and David Wright has seven RBI in his last 10 games. The Mets have an ERA of 3.55. Daisuke Matsuzaka takes the hill, and he’s 3-3 with a 3.32 ERA and has 57 strikeouts in 65 innings. Matsuzaka is 1-1 with a 3.79 ERA in five career games against the Marlins.

The Marlins are 1-4 in Koehlers last 5 starts and 2-5 in Koehlers last 7 starts vs. National League East. The Mets are 5-0 in Matsuzakas last 5 home starts and 4-1 in Matsuzakas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Marlins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in New York.

Koehler has been brutal the last month or so and it looks like the Mets are in a groove. I'll take the home team for the cheap price. 

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