Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/18/14
Philadelphia Phillies (42-53) at Atlanta Braves (52-43)
MLB Baseball: Friday, July 18, 2014 at 7:35 pm (Turner Field)
AJ Burnett (R) (6-8) (3.828) vs. Ervin Santana (R) (7-6) (4.009)
The Line: Atlanta Braves -144 / Philadelphia Phillies +134 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSN-PHI, FSN-S
The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves begin a three-game series Friday at Turner Field.
The Phillies are 6-7 in the month of July and remain 11 games below a .500 record. While things may seem ugly, the Phillies are actually playing decent ball lately with a pitching staff that has allowed three or less runs in four of their last seven games. Overall, the Phillies have an ERA of 3.90, which is 19th in baseball. Offensively, Marlon Byrd has crossed the plate seven times in his last nine games and Jimmy Rollins has homered three times in his last five games. A.J. Burnett takes the hill, and he’s 6-8 with a 3.83 ERA and has 108 strikeouts in 131.2 innings. Burnett is 5-12 with a 3.90 ERA in 22 career starts against the Braves.
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The Braves are 7-5 in the month of July and nine games above .500. While the Braves are still trying to find consistent offense, their pitching staff has allowed four or more runs in eight of their last 12 games. Overall, the Braves have the sixth best ERA in baseball at 3.36. Offensively, Justin Upton has nine RBI in his last 10 games and Jason Heyward has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games. Starting is Ervin Santana is 7-6 with a 4.01 ERA and has 96 strikeouts in 110 innings. Santana is 2-1 with a 2.10 ERA in four career starts against the Phillies.
The Phillies are 4-1 in Burnetts last 5 starts during game 1 of a series and 4-0 in their last 4 road games. The Braves are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win and 3-8 in Santanas last 11 starts. The Phillies are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
The Braves have owned Burnett through much of his career. I like the Braves to start the second half of the season strong and get the win here.