Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/18/14
Kansas City Royals (48-46) at Boston Red Sox (43-52)
MLB Baseball: Friday, July 18, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)
James Shields (R) (9-5) (3.651) vs. Clay Buchholz (R) (4-5) (5.424)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -125 / Kansas City Royals +115 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-KC, NESN
The Kansas City Royals and Boston Red Sox take the field Friday to begin a three-game series at Fenway Park.
The Royals are 5-7 in the month of July and two games above a .500 record. The Royals are an inconsistent team due to an inconsistent offense that has been held to three or less runs in eight of their last 18 games. It’s been up and down for the Royals all season, and they’ve lost 11 straight games when scoring three or less runs. Pitching wise, the Royals have the 11th best ERA in baseball at 3.76. James Shields takes the mound, and he’s 9-5 with a 3.65 ERA and has 110 strikeouts in 130.2 innings. Shields is 9-13 with a 4.36 ERA in 25 career starts against the Red Sox.
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The Red Sox have won four of their last five games, but are still nine games back of a .500 record. Although they’ve scored 21 runs in their last three games, the Red Sox have been held to three or less runs in 18 of their last 28 games. The Red Sox have lost 11 of their last 13 games when scoring three or less runs. Pitching, the Red Sox have 14th best ERA at 3.83. Starting is Clay Buchholz, who is 4-5 with a 5.42 ERA and has 62 strikeouts in 79.2 innings. Buchholz is 4-1 with a 2.20 ERA in five career starts against the Royals.
The Royals are 8-0 in Shields' last 8 starts vs. American League East and 21-6 in Shields' last 27 road starts. The Red Sox are 5-1 in Buchholzs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 23-11 in Buchholzs last 34 starts overall. The Royals are 13-28 in the last 41 meetings in Boston.
Shields is a pitcher who knows much of the Red Sox lineup haven faced them many times in the past. The Red Sox have also not shown much success against above-average teams. I'll take the Royals on the road for the plus money.