Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/19/14
Kansas City Royals (48-46) at Boston Red Sox (43-52)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 19, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)
Danny Duffy (L) (4-8) (2.829) vs. Rubby De La Rosa (R) (2-2) (2.892)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -125 / Kansas City Royals +115 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-KC, NESN
The Kansas City Royals and Boston Red Sox play game two Saturday night at Fenway Park.
The Royals have lost five of their last seven games and are now just one game above .500. The good thing for the Royals is that their offense continues to show signs of life, scoring four or more runs in five of their last eight games. Omar Infante has 19 hits in his last 10 games and Eric Hosmer has a 14-game hitting streak. The bad news is that the Royals pitching staff has allowed four or more runs in seven of their last 10 games. Starting is Danny Duffy, who is 5-9 with a 2.76 ERA and has 67 strikeouts in 84.2 innings. Duffy is 0-1 with a 7.07 ERA in three career starts against the Red Sox.
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The Red Sox have won five of their last six games but are still eight games back from a .500 record. The Red offense is also getting the job done lately and has won 10 of their last 13 games when scoring four or more runs. David Ortiz has 11 RBI in his last nine games and Dustin Pedroia has a four-game hitting streak going. Pitching wise, the Red Sox have an ERA of 3.83, 14th best in baseball. Rubby De La Rosa takes the hill, and he’s 2-2 with a 2.89 ERA and has 33 strikeouts in 37.1 innings. This is De La Rosa’s second career game against the Royals.
The Royals are 6-0 in Duffys last 6 starts with 7 or more days of rest and 9-4 in Duffys last 13 road starts. The Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series and 4-9 in their last 13 games as a favorite. The Royals are 13-28 in the last 41 meetings in Boston.
I like the value we're getting here with the Royals considering Duffy has been great when he's given a lot of rest and I still don't trust the Red Sox. I'll take my chances with KC and the plus money.